The basic principles of technical analysis revolve around analyzing historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements.
Here are some fundamental principles:
1. Price Discounts Everything:
All relevant information regarding a security, such as its fundamental data, market sentiment, and external factors, etc. already reflects in its price.
Therefore, a Technical Analysts focus solely on analyzing price and volume data to make trading decisions.
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2. Price Moves in Trends:
One of the central tenets of technical analysis is the concept of trends.
Prices tend to move in identifiable trends - upward (bullish), downward (bearish), or sideways (range-bound).
Technical analysts aim to identify and follow these trends to capitalize on potential profit opportunities.
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3. History Tends to Repeat Itself:
Technical analysis is based on the fact that historical price patterns and trends tend to repeat themselves over time.
By studying past market behavior, analysts attempt to identify similar patterns that may occur in the future, enabling them to predict potential price movements.
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4. Volume Confirmation:
Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis. It is used to confirm the strength of price movements.
For example, a breakout accompanied by high trading volume is considered more reliable than a breakout with low volume.
Volume analysis helps in confirming the validity of price trends and patterns.
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5. Divergences:
Divergences in Price and certain indicators indicates the possible reversal trend change.
RSI Divergence, ADX Divergence, Stochastic Divergence with price directions are used by many analysts.
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